Understanding The Australian Property Market
February 7, 2010 by Alanna Milletts
Filed under Real Estate
The property market in Australia, similar to other countries such as Canada, the United Kingdom and the United States is struggling to know where it will turn in 2010. Many predict an increase in property prices of more than 5% and other experts predict a drop of more 20% or more.
The main determining factor that will affect property prices will be unemployment. If the unemployment rate continues to rise then it will be only people with deposits that can afford to buy real estate and new builds and many predict that the unemployment rate will soar to as high as 8%, compared to 2008 when the unemployment rate was 4.5%.
Back in 2008, the Australian Reserve Bank cut interest rates by a massive 3% which helped many people meet their mortgage repayments and the new strict lending rules, issued by the Australian Government has significantly cut down on the amount of mortgages given to people who would struggle to meet their repayments.
These stricter lending rules have cut down on the amount of repossessions on the market which has enabled the property market to remain fairly stable throughout the last few years.
The Australian Government has also started a new grant available for first time buyers to help them get onto the property ladder although, again, only beneficial if people can keep up the repayments on their mortgages.
With debt levels, throughout Australia being at an all time high, more and more people are borrowing from banks and credit cards to keep their heads above water. If they want to purchase real estate then even more debt will have to be taken on, which they can ill afford.
Many people throughout the country are having a hard time paying their debts and many have lost their full time work and are now working part time. In 2008 the amount of people in full time employment dropped by over 44 thousand and part time jobs increased by over 40 thousand.
Another factor that will affect the property market in Australia is the world economy. Countries such as the USA, Japan and other European nations are suffering a recession and even the big player, China is experiencing a slow down. Every country, all over the world will be affected and Australia, unfortunately, will not be spared.
The property market in Australia, although predicted to be generally weak in 2010, should hold out fairly well in the first 6 months or so, however it will be the employment issues that will be the deciding factor as to where the property market heads in the next few years or so.
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